Primera División Argentina: betting tips and results (Fecha 11)

Based on the prediction model described here, you can find betting tips and results in this blog:

(Note: you are free to use the ‘tips’, but I am not using them myself!).

bets:

Those bets correspond to the probabilities for the upcoming games in the Primera División (Argentina). They are based on differences between the mentioned probabilities and the probabilities given by the odds. If the odds are 2,00 for a home win this would be equal to a chance of 50%. If the model gives the home team a higher chance of winning the game a bet will be placed. The stake is based on the difference between the probabilities of the model and the bookies.

Edit: after fecha 6 I made a little change in the staking; it now also depends on the perceived probability of the bet that is backed: the lower, the lower the stake.

Bets for game day 13:

 

Previous results:

Betting results fecha 12 and total:

Previous results:

Captura de pantalla 2016-04-12 a las 9.27.24 p.m.

Note: all odds come from betexplorer.com

 

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